Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.060857 0.072318 0.085192 0.100704 0.118867 0.139436 0.164477
2025-03-23 0.044137 0.059087 0.077816 0.102904 0.135528 0.176400 0.231367
2025-03-30 0.033395 0.049141 0.070634 0.101908 0.146005 0.205679 0.292216
2025-04-06 0.025993 0.041432 0.064082 0.099392 0.152631 0.229377 0.347714
2025-04-13 0.020565 0.035186 0.058046 0.095904 0.156405 0.248514 0.398224
2025-04-20 0.017601 0.032061 0.055973 0.097723 0.167910 0.279928 0.470437
2025-04-27 0.015093 0.029139 0.053598 0.098429 0.177367 0.308867 0.541871
2025-05-04 0.013046 0.026597 0.051363 0.098852 0.186121 0.337349 0.615560
2025-05-11 0.011511 0.024694 0.049901 0.100304 0.196663 0.369813 0.699511
2025-05-18 0.010473 0.023562 0.049656 0.103895 0.211429 0.411190 0.803705
2025-05-25 0.008877 0.020967 0.046123 0.100516 0.212401 0.427333 0.863223
2025-06-01 0.007843 0.019386 0.044377 0.100424 0.219692 0.455976 0.949246
2025-06-08 0.006807 0.017631 0.042038 0.098851 0.223997 0.479778 1.029583
2025-06-15 0.006213 0.016806 0.041611 0.101374 0.237267 0.523076 1.154066
2025-06-22 0.005470 0.015466 0.039789 0.100468 0.242934 0.551302 1.250571
2025-06-29 0.004742 0.014017 0.037460 0.098002 0.244720 0.571408 1.331963
2025-07-06 0.004071 0.012574 0.034900 0.094563 0.243735 0.585261 1.401122
2025-07-13 0.003737 0.012008 0.034472 0.096359 0.255434 0.628698 1.540871
2025-07-20 0.003393 0.011341 0.033666 0.097056 0.264513 0.667077 1.673080
2025-07-27 0.003077 0.010694 0.032805 0.097473 0.272926 0.704774 1.807620
2025-08-03 0.002832 0.010216 0.032343 0.098906 0.284146 0.750398 1.965807
2025-08-10 0.002679 0.010005 0.032618 0.102450 0.301419 0.812699 2.170991
2025-08-17 0.002336 0.009082 0.030612 0.099116 0.299576 0.826869 2.257958